Minority Report

Placerville, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of El Dorado County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 51°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 5%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°19%
US model (GFS)77°52°2%
European model (ECMWF)75°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°47°3%
Canadian model (GEM)75°51°0%
The average75°51°5%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 46°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°42°100%
US model (GFS)56°47°100%
European model (ECMWF)57°46°100%
German model (ICON)59°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°47°100%
The average57°46°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 37%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°43°7%
US model (GFS)57°44°26%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°58%
German model (ICON)58°40°60%
Canadian model (GEM)58°45°36%
The average58°42°37%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 44°   Rain 90%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°45°89%
US model (GFS)61°45°90%
European model (ECMWF)61°46°88%
German model (ICON)58°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)60°44°85%
The average60°44°90%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.