Minority Report

Plains, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yoakum County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)70°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°39°0%
German model (ICON)69°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°39°0%
The average70°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 41°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°49°53%
US model (GFS)68°40°19%
European model (ECMWF)66°40°14%
German model (ICON)66°41°18%
Canadian model (GEM)69°37°45%
The average67°41°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 49°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°46°52%
US model (GFS)64°49°76%
European model (ECMWF)64°47°100%
German model (ICON)63°51°70%
Canadian model (GEM)64°50°67%
The average64°49°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 11%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°40°0%
US model (GFS)63°48°12%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°22%
German model (ICON)55°45°18%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°5%
The average56°43°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.