Minority Report

Plainview, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hale County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)71°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°41°0%
German model (ICON)71°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°38°0%
The average71°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 41°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°43°13%
US model (GFS)67°43°1%
European model (ECMWF)63°42°0%
German model (ICON)61°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°36°3%
The average64°41°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 44°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°42°72%
US model (GFS)62°42°79%
European model (ECMWF)50°46°98%
German model (ICON)50°46°76%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°92%
The average54°44°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 74 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 49%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°36°5%
US model (GFS)57°44°79%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°41%
German model (ICON)50°42°60%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°62%
The average50°40°49%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.