Minority Report

Plattsburgh, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clinton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°13%
US model (GFS)42°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°34%
German model (ICON)41°32°15%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°53%
The average42°31°24%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°14%
US model (GFS)40°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°0%
German model (ICON)41°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)40°30°14%
The average41°30°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 45%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 45%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°42%
US model (GFS)42°33°43%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°61%
German model (ICON)41°35°43%
Canadian model (GEM)41°37°34%
The average42°34°45%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 24%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 24%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°30%
US model (GFS)42°34°32%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°9%
German model (ICON)44°36°23%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°24%
The average43°34°24%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.