Minority Report

Plymouth, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marshall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 56%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°41%
US model (GFS)46°39°40%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°47%
Canadian model (GEM)44°39°94%
The average46°38°56%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 28%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°26%
US model (GFS)41°32°8%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°36%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°40%
The average43°31°28%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 44%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°46%
US model (GFS)42°32°24%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°30%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°77%
The average44°31°44%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 28%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°25%
US model (GFS)46°37°11%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°4%
Canadian model (GEM)47°28°71%
The average47°33°28%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.