Minority Report

Plymouth, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 49°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°23%
US model (GFS)72°50°22%
European model (ECMWF)71°52°12%
German model (ICON)72°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°49°0%
The average72°49°11%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 42°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 13%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°36°20%
US model (GFS)58°44°26%
European model (ECMWF)59°45°12%
German model (ICON)59°42°8%
Canadian model (GEM)60°43°0%
The average59°42°13%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)53°36°3%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°7%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°37°0%
The average54°35°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)58°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average56°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.