Minority Report

Pocahontas, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Randolph County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)64°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°42°0%
German model (ICON)62°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°41°0%
The average64°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°0%
The average51°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°0%
The average51°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°3%
US model (GFS)54°36°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°1%
German model (ICON)58°32°2%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°6%
The average55°32°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.