Minority Report

Pocatello, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bannock County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)62°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°36°0%
German model (ICON)62°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°36°0%
The average62°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 23%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°41°82%
US model (GFS)61°46°5%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°22%
German model (ICON)60°43°3%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°5%
The average60°42°23%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 90%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 90%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°82%
US model (GFS)52°36°84%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°100%
German model (ICON)52°38°88%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°95%
The average49°34°90%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°33°0%
US model (GFS)50°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°31°0%
The average51°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.