Minority Report

Point Pleasant, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mason County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 41°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 91%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°67%
US model (GFS)52°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°100%
German model (ICON)54°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)52°42°100%
The average53°41°91%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°17%
US model (GFS)46°37°54%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°89%
German model (ICON)46°37°68%
Canadian model (GEM)48°37°82%
The average47°36°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)45°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°12%
German model (ICON)45°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°10%
The average46°32°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°2%
German model (ICON)49°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°0%
The average47°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.