Polson, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lake County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 52° Low 37° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 37° | 0% |
High 53° Low 37° Rain 3%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 34° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 39° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 42° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 37° | 3% |
High 48° Low 35° Rain 45%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 32° | 26% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 39° | 35% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 40° | 54% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 35° | 57% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 29° | 53% |
| The average | 48° | 35° | 45% |
High 49° Low 34° Rain 14%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 33° | 26% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 36° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 36° | 20% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 33° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 32° | 10% |
| The average | 49° | 34° | 14% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.