Minority Report

Pontiac, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oakland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 37°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 71%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°18%
US model (GFS)47°38°55%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°98%
German model (ICON)45°40°93%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°92%
The average45°37°71%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 52%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°29°50%
US model (GFS)39°31°35%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°81%
German model (ICON)40°32°53%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°43%
The average40°32°52%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°1%
US model (GFS)40°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)42°31°0%
German model (ICON)44°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°0%
The average42°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°0%
US model (GFS)44°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°0%
German model (ICON)46°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°0%
The average44°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.