Minority Report

Poplar Bluff, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Butler County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 39°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)62°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°42°10%
German model (ICON)60°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°41°10%
The average62°39°4%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°0%
The average49°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°3%
US model (GFS)53°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°24°4%
The average54°31°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.