Minority Report

Port Clinton, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ottawa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 43°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°32%
US model (GFS)51°41°78%
European model (ECMWF)54°45°100%
German model (ICON)51°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)52°44°100%
The average52°43°82%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 39°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 67%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°37°68%
US model (GFS)42°38°45%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°100%
German model (ICON)43°40°60%
Canadian model (GEM)44°41°62%
The average43°39°67%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 37°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°39°8%
US model (GFS)45°36°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°11%
German model (ICON)45°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°6%
The average44°37°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°37°1%
US model (GFS)45°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°39°4%
German model (ICON)47°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°0%
The average45°37°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.