Minority Report

Port Huron, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Clair County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 40°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 68%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°72%
US model (GFS)46°40°31%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°100%
German model (ICON)46°42°58%
Canadian model (GEM)47°44°81%
The average47°40°68%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 89%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°31°82%
US model (GFS)40°33°65%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°100%
German model (ICON)42°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°100%
The average42°33°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°61%
US model (GFS)42°34°46%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°6%
German model (ICON)44°36°28%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°57%
The average43°35°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 8%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°22%
US model (GFS)45°40°10%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°2%
German model (ICON)47°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°5%
The average45°36°8%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.