Minority Report

Port Orchard, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kitsap County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 51°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 42 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°42%
US model (GFS)59°50°3%
German model (ICON)60°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°52°0%
The average59°51°11%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 49°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 76%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°47°86%
US model (GFS)54°47°57%
German model (ICON)54°50°90%
Canadian model (GEM)55°50°71%
The average55°49°76%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 48°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 91%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°48°100%
US model (GFS)56°47°98%
German model (ICON)55°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°48°67%
The average56°48°91%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°43°99%
US model (GFS)54°46°98%
German model (ICON)53°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°47°100%
The average54°45°99%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.