Minority Report

Port Saint Joe, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gulf County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 60°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 17%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—55°0%
US model (GFS)74°58°6%
European model (ECMWF)76°65°80%
German model (ICON)76°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°61°0%
The average75°60°17%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 0°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°45°0%
US model (GFS)66°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°52°0%
German model (ICON)66°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°50°0%
The average66°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°46°0%
US model (GFS)62°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°0%
German model (ICON)62°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°0%
The average60°42°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°50°1%
US model (GFS)67°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°43°0%
German model (ICON)65°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°40°0%
The average64°44°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.