Minority Report

Port Townsend, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 52°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 39 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°39%
US model (GFS)60°53°7%
German model (ICON)60°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°53°14%
The average59°52°15%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 50°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 60%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°49°69%
US model (GFS)57°48°50%
German model (ICON)57°52°83%
Canadian model (GEM)59°52°40%
The average58°50°60%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 49°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 81%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°49°92%
US model (GFS)55°48°85%
German model (ICON)54°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°50°47%
The average55°49°81%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 46°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 86%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°46°78%
US model (GFS)55°44°85%
German model (ICON)55°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°48°81%
The average55°46°86%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.