Minority Report

Port Washington, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ozaukee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°19%
US model (GFS)42°35°5%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°4%
German model (ICON)42°34°18%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°19%
The average42°34°13%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°33°23%
US model (GFS)41°32°12%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°0%
German model (ICON)42°31°8%
Canadian model (GEM)40°31°0%
The average41°32°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°0%
US model (GFS)43°33°2%
European model (ECMWF)42°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°0%
The average44°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°0%
US model (GFS)46°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)47°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°0%
The average46°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.