Minority Report

Portales, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Roosevelt County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)70°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°39°0%
German model (ICON)68°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°33°0%
The average69°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 38°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 28%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°45°61%
US model (GFS)68°40°12%
European model (ECMWF)68°40°16%
German model (ICON)66°36°18%
Canadian model (GEM)68°31°33%
The average68°38°28%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 46°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 69%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°43°61%
US model (GFS)63°46°56%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°98%
German model (ICON)61°48°78%
Canadian model (GEM)61°46°52%
The average61°46°69%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 11%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°0%
US model (GFS)60°43°4%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°15%
German model (ICON)52°43°13%
Canadian model (GEM)51°36°22%
The average54°40°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.