Minority Report

Portland, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 77%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°59%
US model (GFS)48°41°50%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°100%
The average48°38°77%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 44%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°19%
US model (GFS)42°31°17%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°68%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°74%
The average42°32°44%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°8%
US model (GFS)43°31°8%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°2%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°5%
The average44°29°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°12%
US model (GFS)46°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°40°2%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°2%
The average46°35°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.