Minority Report

Portland, ME — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cumberland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 37°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 45%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°69%
US model (GFS)46°38°19%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°37%
German model (ICON)44°38°48%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°52%
The average45°37°45%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 46%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°62%
US model (GFS)44°35°25%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°25%
German model (ICON)44°36°55%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°62%
The average44°35°46%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°4%
US model (GFS)46°32°10%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°10%
German model (ICON)45°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°28°5%
The average45°32°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°3%
US model (GFS)46°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°1%
German model (ICON)46°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°35°2%
The average47°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.