Minority Report

Portland, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Multnomah County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 49°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°46%
US model (GFS)57°49°3%
European model (ECMWF)59°49°0%
German model (ICON)59°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°49°0%
The average58°49°10%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 49°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 88%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°49°95%
US model (GFS)54°46°77%
European model (ECMWF)58°49°100%
German model (ICON)60°49°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°50°68%
The average57°49°88%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 50°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 85%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°50°97%
US model (GFS)58°46°97%
European model (ECMWF)60°50°88%
German model (ICON)60°53°80%
Canadian model (GEM)59°50°62%
The average59°50°85%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 46°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°45°97%
US model (GFS)53°47°97%
European model (ECMWF)55°46°100%
German model (ICON)54°46°99%
Canadian model (GEM)55°47°90%
The average54°46°97%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.