Minority Report

Portsmouth, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Scioto County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 43°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 89%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°70%
US model (GFS)52°42°78%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°100%
German model (ICON)54°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)53°44°100%
The average53°43°89%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 60%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°23%
US model (GFS)47°36°57%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°87%
German model (ICON)45°36°68%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°67%
The average47°36°60%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°5%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°2%
German model (ICON)46°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°14%
The average47°34°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°0%
US model (GFS)48°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°2%
German model (ICON)50°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°30°0%
The average49°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.