Minority Report

Post, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Garza County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)74°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°45°0%
German model (ICON)72°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°43°0%
The average72°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 4%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°48°16%
US model (GFS)70°50°1%
European model (ECMWF)65°47°1%
German model (ICON)61°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°43°1%
The average65°46°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 48°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 79%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°49°65%
US model (GFS)63°46°65%
European model (ECMWF)59°50°100%
German model (ICON)60°49°73%
Canadian model (GEM)62°47°90%
The average61°48°79%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 44°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 41%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°42°7%
US model (GFS)66°48°65%
European model (ECMWF)52°44°47%
German model (ICON)55°44°50%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°34%
The average57°44°41%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.