Minority Report

Potosi, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)56°36°5%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°37°51%
The average55°35°11%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°0%
German model (ICON)44°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average44°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°25°0%
US model (GFS)50°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°28°0%
German model (ICON)50°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°0%
The average48°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°26°2%
US model (GFS)54°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°30°0%
German model (ICON)55°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°25°4%
The average53°28°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.