Minority Report

Pottsville, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Schuylkill County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 42°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°88%
US model (GFS)53°42°99%
European model (ECMWF)52°46°100%
German model (ICON)52°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°100%
The average53°42°97%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 89%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°31°92%
US model (GFS)42°34°66%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°98%
German model (ICON)43°37°98%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°91%
The average43°35°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 15%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°2%
US model (GFS)41°33°6%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°11%
German model (ICON)44°34°30%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°28%
The average42°33°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°0%
US model (GFS)43°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°4%
German model (ICON)46°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°0%
The average44°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.