Poughkeepsie, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dutchess County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 48° Low 40° Rain 99%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 41° | 98% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 40° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 42° | 100% |
| The average | 48° | 40° | 99% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 94%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 30° | 88% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 34° | 80% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 33° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 35° | 100% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 94% |
High 44° Low 32° Rain 7%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 30° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 32° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 31° | 3% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 33° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 5% |
| The average | 44° | 32° | 7% |
High 46° Low 32° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 30° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 32° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.