Minority Report

Powhatan, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Powhatan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 22%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°14%
US model (GFS)69°45°13%
German model (ICON)67°43°60%
Canadian model (GEM)68°44°0%
The average68°44°22%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°11%
US model (GFS)52°36°1%
German model (ICON)53°34°15%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average54°34°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°32°2%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°0%
The average52°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)57°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°30°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.