Minority Report

Prairie du Chien, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crawford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°1%
US model (GFS)42°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°14%
German model (ICON)43°34°23%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°10%
The average43°33°10%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°1%
US model (GFS)40°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°30°0%
German model (ICON)41°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average41°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°24°0%
US model (GFS)44°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°24°0%
The average44°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°27°0%
German model (ICON)48°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°20°0%
The average47°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.