Minority Report

Prescott, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yavapai County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 44°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°3%
US model (GFS)65°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°46°0%
German model (ICON)64°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°47°0%
The average65°44°1%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 57%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°40°65%
US model (GFS)60°45°39%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°78%
German model (ICON)57°47°35%
Canadian model (GEM)58°45°67%
The average59°44°57%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 38°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°65%
US model (GFS)48°40°37%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°72%
German model (ICON)52°42°57%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°72%
The average50°38°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average56°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.