Minority Report

Preston, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)57°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)57°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°30°0%
The average57°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 43%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°37°93%
US model (GFS)58°41°34%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°25%
German model (ICON)60°38°18%
Canadian model (GEM)58°32°43%
The average58°37°43%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 90%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°93%
US model (GFS)46°34°87%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°87%
German model (ICON)47°32°86%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°95%
The average46°33°90%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°1%
US model (GFS)48°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°1%
German model (ICON)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°0%
The average49°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.