Minority Report

Prestonsburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Floyd County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 44°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°44%
US model (GFS)54°45°81%
European model (ECMWF)54°46°100%
German model (ICON)55°46°98%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°100%
The average55°44°85%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°60%
US model (GFS)46°36°55%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°90%
German model (ICON)46°38°70%
Canadian model (GEM)47°40°90%
The average46°37°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°5%
US model (GFS)46°34°14%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°15%
German model (ICON)45°35°20%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°13%
The average46°34°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°2%
German model (ICON)52°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°0%
The average50°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.