Minority Report

Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 35°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°34°37%
US model (GFS)39°34°98%
European model (ECMWF)41°32°94%
German model (ICON)42°38°85%
Canadian model (GEM)40°37°100%
The average40°35°83%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 36°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 82%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°37°49%
US model (GFS)40°35°88%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°96%
German model (ICON)46°40°80%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°95%
The average42°36°82%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 39°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°35°86%
US model (GFS)44°37°90%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°98%
German model (ICON)46°44°97%
Canadian model (GEM)45°42°100%
The average44°39°94%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 37°   Rain 98%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°35°100%
US model (GFS)44°38°94%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°98%
German model (ICON)45°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°39°100%
The average43°37°98%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.