Minority Report

Princeton, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mercer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°35%
US model (GFS)48°37°55%
European model (ECMWF)50°39°100%
German model (ICON)49°40°73%
Canadian model (GEM)50°38°100%
The average49°37°73%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 52%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°55%
US model (GFS)38°32°22%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°74%
German model (ICON)40°34°25%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°86%
The average40°32°52%

Saturday, November 14

High 36°   Low 29°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 31%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°27°43%
US model (GFS)34°29°24%
European model (ECMWF)37°30°17%
German model (ICON)36°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)36°28°62%
The average36°29°31%

Sunday, November 15

High 41°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°25°1%
US model (GFS)39°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°28°2%
German model (ICON)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°31°0%
The average41°29°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.