Minority Report

Prineville, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crook County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 45°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°43°4%
US model (GFS)71°48°1%
European model (ECMWF)70°41°0%
German model (ICON)69°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°44°0%
The average70°45°1%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 75%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°76%
US model (GFS)56°40°72%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°98%
German model (ICON)57°44°83%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°48%
The average59°40°75%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°71%
US model (GFS)51°38°31%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°18%
German model (ICON)53°43°20%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°5%
The average54°40°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 37°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 60%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°71%
US model (GFS)50°42°65%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°57%
German model (ICON)51°36°70%
Canadian model (GEM)55°40°38%
The average52°37°60%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.