Providence, RI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Providence County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 56° Low 42° Rain 94%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 42° | 90% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 42° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 42° | 85% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 40° | 98% |
| The average | 56° | 42° | 94% |
High 46° Low 37° Rain 91%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 35° | 78% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 36° | 79% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 40° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 37° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 38° | 100% |
| The average | 46° | 37° | 91% |
High 46° Low 33° Rain 11%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 32° | 20% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 34° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 34° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 34° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 32° | 5% |
| The average | 46° | 33° | 11% |
High 48° Low 35° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 35° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.