Provo, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Utah County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 60° Low 38° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 40° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 41° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 45° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 60° | 38° | 0% |
High 61° Low 42° Rain 65%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 63° | 42° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 47° | 47% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 39° | 73% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 48° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 36° | 56% |
| The average | 61° | 42° | 65% |
High 49° Low 39° Rain 97%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 35° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 36° | 95% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 38° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 42° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 42° | 96% |
| The average | 49° | 39° | 97% |
High 52° Low 37° Rain 1%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 38° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 38° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 35° | 5% |
| The average | 52° | 37° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.