Minority Report

Pryor, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mayes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)66°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°45°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°44°0%
The average64°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°0%
The average52°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°11%
US model (GFS)57°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°1%
German model (ICON)58°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°5%
The average56°32°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 43%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°37%
US model (GFS)47°44°36%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°45%
German model (ICON)46°42°30%
Canadian model (GEM)45°40°68%
The average48°41°43%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.