Minority Report

Punta Gorda, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Charlotte County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 69°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 63 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 35%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—68°15%
US model (GFS)79°69°10%
European model (ECMWF)78°68°73%
German model (ICON)78°70°55%
Canadian model (GEM)79°70°24%
The average78°69°35%

Friday, November 13

High 74°   Low 59°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 14%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°53°6%
US model (GFS)76°61°23%
European model (ECMWF)75°62°37%
German model (ICON)73°60°5%
Canadian model (GEM)74°61°0%
The average74°59°14%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°47°0%
US model (GFS)66°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°51°0%
German model (ICON)65°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°52°0%
The average65°51°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 74°   Low 52°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°59°1%
US model (GFS)73°53°1%
European model (ECMWF)73°50°0%
German model (ICON)73°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°50°5%
The average74°52°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.