Minority Report

Purcell, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McClain County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)72°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°45°0%
German model (ICON)70°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°43°0%
The average70°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°38°0%
US model (GFS)58°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°41°0%
German model (ICON)57°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average57°40°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 64%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°74%
US model (GFS)58°36°50%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°73%
German model (ICON)56°36°76%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°48%
The average56°38°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 40°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°38°90%
US model (GFS)47°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)44°42°98%
German model (ICON)44°40°97%
Canadian model (GEM)42°40°100%
The average45°40°95%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.