Minority Report

Queensbury, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Warren County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 35°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°90%
US model (GFS)40°36°97%
European model (ECMWF)42°38°100%
German model (ICON)42°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°100%
The average42°35°97%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°27°38%
US model (GFS)40°33°66%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°88%
German model (ICON)41°35°88%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°86%
The average41°33°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 19%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°17%
US model (GFS)44°32°8%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°35%
German model (ICON)44°34°20%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°14%
The average43°33°19%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 10%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°16%
US model (GFS)44°30°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°12%
German model (ICON)44°33°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°12%
The average44°32°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.