Minority Report

Quincy, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Plumas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 36°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°66%
US model (GFS)72°43°3%
European model (ECMWF)68°33°0%
German model (ICON)68°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°32°6%
The average69°36°15%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°100%
US model (GFS)52°40°100%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°100%
German model (ICON)52°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)53°41°100%
The average51°38°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 37%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°30%
US model (GFS)48°38°36%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°8%
German model (ICON)51°42°23%
Canadian model (GEM)51°35°88%
The average51°36°37%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 97%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°97%
US model (GFS)52°36°97%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°95%
German model (ICON)47°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°95%
The average51°35°97%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.