Minority Report

Quitman, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wood County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)77°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°54°0%
German model (ICON)76°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°50°0%
The average76°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°42°1%
US model (GFS)66°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°50°0%
German model (ICON)64°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°50°0%
The average66°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 44°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°43°40%
US model (GFS)63°43°7%
European model (ECMWF)61°45°24%
German model (ICON)60°42°27%
Canadian model (GEM)61°47°2%
The average61°44°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 43°   Rain 88%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 88%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°42°88%
US model (GFS)54°44°78%
European model (ECMWF)51°45°99%
German model (ICON)52°43°92%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°82%
The average53°43°88%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.