Minority Report

Río Grande Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Río Grande Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 77°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 99 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 43%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—78°50%
US model (GFS)88°75°42%
European model (ECMWF)88°77°99%
German model (ICON)88°77°23%
Canadian model (GEM)91°78°0%
The average89°77°43%

Friday, November 13

High 88°   Low 78°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 100 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 36%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°76°40%
US model (GFS)87°76°30%
European model (ECMWF)86°77°100%
German model (ICON)88°80°8%
Canadian model (GEM)89°81°0%
The average88°78°36%

Saturday, November 14

High 88°   Low 78°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 100 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°76°40%
US model (GFS)88°77°26%
European model (ECMWF)84°77°100%
German model (ICON)88°82°16%
Canadian model (GEM)90°79°0%
The average88°78°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 89°   Low 76°   Rain 5%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 5%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service92°76°3%
US model (GFS)88°75°3%
European model (ECMWF)84°76°16%
German model (ICON)89°77°3%
Canadian model (GEM)90°78°0%
The average89°76°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.