Minority Report

Racine, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Racine County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 27%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°34%
US model (GFS)44°37°6%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°4%
German model (ICON)45°39°70%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°19%
The average44°36°27%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°50%
US model (GFS)40°33°29%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°0%
German model (ICON)43°36°70%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°19%
The average43°33°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°0%
US model (GFS)45°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°10%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°0%
The average45°31°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°0%
US model (GFS)45°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°29°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average46°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.