Minority Report

Raeford, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hoke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 48°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 14%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)74°49°31%
European model (ECMWF)71°51°31%
German model (ICON)72°48°3%
Canadian model (GEM)73°48°5%
The average72°48°14%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°36°9%
US model (GFS)58°41°2%
European model (ECMWF)58°45°8%
German model (ICON)59°40°5%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°0%
The average59°41°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°4%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°0%
The average55°36°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°31°0%
The average56°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.