Minority Report

Raleigh, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Smith County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)72°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°54°0%
German model (ICON)72°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°55°0%
The average71°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°0%
German model (ICON)58°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°43°0%
The average58°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°34°0%
US model (GFS)59°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°37°0%
The average57°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 18%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°37°23%
US model (GFS)63°38°15%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°22%
German model (ICON)62°32°25%
Canadian model (GEM)58°38°3%
The average60°37°18%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.