Minority Report

Randolph, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rich County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)62°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°31°0%
German model (ICON)57°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°25°0%
The average57°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 30°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 29%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°70%
US model (GFS)57°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)53°31°14%
German model (ICON)54°30°18%
Canadian model (GEM)55°24°38%
The average55°30°29%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 28°   Rain 70%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°70%
US model (GFS)41°29°71%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°67%
German model (ICON)45°31°68%
Canadian model (GEM)46°23°76%
The average44°28°70%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°2%
German model (ICON)48°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average47°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.