Minority Report

Ravenna, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Portage County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 78%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°25%
US model (GFS)48°40°85%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°100%
German model (ICON)47°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°81%
The average48°38°78%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 59%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°32°90%
US model (GFS)41°34°51%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°89%
German model (ICON)42°33°43%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°22%
The average42°34°59%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 34°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 80%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°33°81%
US model (GFS)42°35°77%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°97%
German model (ICON)41°34°65%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°81%
The average41°34°80%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 52%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°47%
US model (GFS)43°39°40%
European model (ECMWF)42°39°52%
German model (ICON)44°35°58%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°63%
The average44°36°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.