Minority Report

Rawlins, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carbon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)56°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)57°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°32°0%
The average56°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°9%
US model (GFS)56°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°30°0%
The average55°32°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°24%
US model (GFS)50°33°10%
European model (ECMWF)49°35°4%
German model (ICON)52°33°19%
Canadian model (GEM)52°33°10%
The average51°33°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°0%
US model (GFS)45°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°6%
The average47°32°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.